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June 04, 2008
Who won the popular vote?
It's official, more Democrats voted for Obama this primary season than any other candidate in the history of presidential politics.
The only way Clinton wins is if you count the election in Michigan which the DNC has ruled was invalid and do not count the caucuses in four other states that did not release any individual vote totals.
If you include the caucus estimates and give him the uncommitted in Michigan, he wins. If you ignore the Michigan results he wins, too.
Popular Vote Total 17,535,335 48.1% 17,493,658 48.0% Obama +41,677 +0.1%
Estimate (w/IA, NV, ME, WA)* 17,869,419 48.2% 17,717,520 47.8% Obama +151,899 +0.4%
Popular Vote (w/MI) 17,535,335 47.4% 17,821,967 48.1% Clinton +286,632 +0.8%
Estimate (w/MI and IA, NV, ME, WA)* 17,869,419 47.4% 18,045,829 47.9% Clinton +176,410 +0.5%
Popular Vote (w/MI Uncommitted to Obama)** 17,773,503 48.0% 17,821,967 48.1% Clinton +48,464 +0.1%
Estimate (w/MI Uncommitted to Obama and IA, NV, ME, WA)* 18,107,587 48.1% 18,045,829 47.9% Obama +61,758 +0.2%*(Iowa, Nevada, Washington & Maine Have Not Released Popular Vote Totals. RealClearPolitics has estimated the popular vote totals for Senator Obama and Clinton in these four states. RCP uses the WA Caucus results from February 9 in this estimate because the Caucuses on February 9 were the “official” contest recognized by the DNC to determine delegates to the Democratic convention. The estimate from these four Caucus states where there are not official popular vote numbers increases Senator Obama’s popular vote margin by 110,224. This number would be about 50,000 less if the Washington primary results from February 19th were used instead of the Washington Caucus results.)
**(Senator Obama took his name off the Michigan Ballot. Uncommitted was on the ballot and received 238,168 votes as compared to 328,309 for Senator Clinton.)
Posted by Mike at June 4, 2008 11:06 AM
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