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January 19, 2006

Iraqi election results

There is still no official announcement, but Reuters has the latest:


Electoral Commission sources say the Shi'ite Islamist Alliance will win about 128 of the assembly's 275 seats. The main Sunni bloc should get 43 or 44 seats, with another Sunni group taking 11 and a third three.

The main Kurdish bloc secured 52 seats, the sources said, secular former Prime Minister Iyad Allawi's group 25 seats.

Some doubt remains over a handful of seats distributed by a complex system of allocation under proportional representation.

To summarize:

Unified Iraqi Coalition of Hakim 128
Kurdistani Gathering of Talabani 52
Tawafoq Iraqi Front of Dulaimi 44
Iraqi National List of Allawi 25
Hewar National Iraqi Front of Mutlak 11
Unnamed Sunni Political Party 3
Total number of seats listed 263

Others parties who won seats:
Islamic Union of Kurdistan
Iraqi Turkuman Front
Progressives
Liberation and Reconciliation Gathering

There are 12 seats up for grabs among these and other small parties - including the Iraqi National Congress - who did not get enough votes to earn a seat, but still get one thanks to the complex election law.

In my view, it would be better for those seats to be redistributed among the parties who did get enough votes to earn a set, but I am still not sure if I understand the seat allocation rules correctly.

Overall, the Sunnis did better as well as I had expected. The UIA and Kurds are the ones who should be disappointed. The UIA lost five to ten seats due to the odd means of allocating the remainers. The Kurds were doomed from the start, due to the regionial allocations and relatively mixed population in two of the four Kurdish provinces.

Posted by Mike at January 19, 2006 04:43 PM

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